Abstract
PURPOSE: To assess dosimetry predictors of gastric and duodenal toxicities for locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) patients treated with chemo-radiotherapy in 15 fractions. METHODS: Data from 204 LAPC patients treated with induction+concurrent chemotherapy and radiotherapy (44.25 Gy in 15 fractions) were available. Forty-three patients received a simultaneous integrated boost of 48-58 Gy. Gastric/duodenal Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events v. 5 (CTCAEv5) Grade ≥2 toxicities were analyzed. Absolute/% duodenal and stomach dose-volume histograms (DVHs) of patients with/without toxicities were compared: the most predictive DVH points were identified, and their association with toxicity was tested in univariate and multivariate logistic regressions together with near-maximum dose (D(0.03)) and selected clinical variables. RESULTS: Toxicity occurred in 18 patients: 3 duodenal (ulcer and duodenitis) and 10 gastric (ulcer and stomatitis); 5/18 experienced both. At univariate analysis, V44cc (duodenum: p = 0.02, OR = 1.07; stomach: p = 0.01, OR = 1.12) and D(0.03) (p = 0.07, OR = 1.19; p = 0.008, OR = 1.12) were found to be the most predictive parameters. Stomach/duodenum V44Gy and stomach D(0.03) were confirmed at multivariate analysis and found to be sufficiently robust at internal, bootstrap-based validation; the results regarding duodenum D(0.03) were less robust. No clinical variables or %DVH was significantly associated with toxicity. The best duodenum cutoff values were V44Gy < 9.1 cc (and D(0.03) < 47.6 Gy); concerning the stomach, they were V44Gy < 2 cc and D(0.03) < 45 Gy. The identified predictors showed a high negative predictive value (>94%). CONCLUSION: In a large cohort treated with hypofractionated radiotherapy for LAPC, the risk of duodenal/gastric toxicities was associated with duodenum/stomach DVH. Constraining duodenum V44Gy < 9.1 cc, stomach V44Gy < 2 cc, and stomach D(0.03) < 45 Gy should keep the toxicity rate at approximately or below 5%. The association with duodenum D(0.03) was not sufficiently robust due to the limited number of events, although results suggest that a limit of 45-46 Gy should be safe.