Abstract
Due to the modest predictive capacities and limited clinical application of transvaginal ultrasonographic cervical length (CL) and quantitative fetal fibronectin (qfFN) in pregnant women at low risk of preterm birth (PTB), we sought to determine the utility of cervicovaginal fluid (CVF) metabolites (by-products of host-microbial metabolism) for prediction of spontaneous PTB in asymptomatic low-risk women at mid-gestation. This was a prospective sub-cohort study from the ECCLIPPx study cohort. CVF from asymptomatic singleton women (20-22 weeks, n = 168) without a prior history of PTB were analysed for metabolites by enzyme-based spectrophotometry. CL, vaginal pH and qfFN were also measured. Correlation and predictive analyses were performed by Spearman's correlation, and binary logistic regression and area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), respectively. Of the 168 women enrolled, only CVF samples from 135 (80.4%) women were analysed. There were 6/135 (4.4%) spontaneous PTB (sPTBs), with two of these pregnancies ending ≤ 28 weeks' gestation. Individually (AUC, 95% CI), only glutamate (0.72, 0.64-0.80) and CL (0.69, 0.60-0.77) were predictive of PTB. However, five multivariable models that more accurately predicted sPTB were also identified, i.e. a combination of: glutamate, acetate and D-lactate (GAD, 0.82, 0.74-0.89); CL and qfFN only (0.78, 0.70-0.85); CL, qfFN, glutamate and acetate (0.88, 0.81-0.93); CL, qfFN and GAD (0.94, 0.88-0.98); and GAD and pH (0.86, 0.79-0.92). Correlations between CL, pH and qfFN and metabolites were also observed. In this cohort, a midtrimester combination of CVF glutamate, acetate and D-lactate predicted preterm birth more accurately than individual metabolites, cervical length and fetal fibronectin with a very low false-positive rate and high positive predictive value. Further testing in populations with higher preterm birth rates is required.