Temporal Heterogeneity of Short-Term Effects of Particulate Matter on Stroke Outpatients in Seven Major Cities of the Republic of Korea

韩国七个主要城市中风门诊患者短期受颗粒物影响的时间异质性

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Abstract

Although particulate matter (PM) is a major risk factor for stroke, its effects on hospital outpatients admitted for stroke have not been documented in Korea. In addition, recent studies have reported that the effects of PM(10) on circulatory mortality changed over time. We aimed to estimate the effects of PM(10) on stroke and their temporal heterogeneity in seven major cities of Korea during the period 2002-2015. The study period was divided into five years of moving time windows, and city-specific PM(10) effects on ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke outpatients were calculated. We pooled the estimates using meta-analysis and plotted them into a sequence to identify their temporal trends. A 10 µg/m(3) increase of PM(10) was significantly associated with increments in hospital outpatients admitted for ischemic stroke (0.24%, 95% CI: 0.04%, 0.44%), but not for hemorrhagic stroke (0.33%, 95% CI: -0.06%, 0.73%). Effect estimates for strokes increased during the period 2003-2013 but decreased after. For the first time, we have estimated the effects of PM(10) on hospital outpatients admitted for stroke in Korea. The observed temporal trend in PM(10) effects was similar to patterns of circulatory mortality, suggesting that the temporal heterogeneity in PM(10) effects might be due to systematic causes rather than random fluctuations.

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