Development of a justification process for selecting alternative risk reduction measures

制定选择替代风险降低措施的论证过程

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Abstract

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study is to develop a process for determining a set of alternative preventive measures to reduce risk levels, using the example of reducing the incidence of occupational pneumoconiosis in miners under conditions of financial cost minimization. METHODS: This study was conducted using a system analysis to identify priority directions for risk reduction under limited financial resources based on the relationship between the measures and their risk reduction efficiency. A methodology was developed to justify the selection of risk reduction measures from a set of alternatives based on the calculation of an efficiency factor grounded in financial losses. An eleven-step risk management process was designed to determine alternative preventive measures, characterized by feedback loops that enable the selection of optimal risk reduction strategies. RESULTS: This study presents algorithms for solving three types of decision-making problems regarding the selection of combinations of preventive measures from a defined set of alternatives. These algorithms consider the priority of the measures and allow for a comparison between the effectiveness of several measures and a single measure that can also reduce the risk to an acceptable level. DISCUSSION: An example of calculating the efficiency of preventive measures to reduce the risk of pneumoconiosis among miners is also provided. A key feature of this study is the improvement in the risk management process by integrating the efficiency factor of risk reduction under financial constraints.

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