Abstract
Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriales has become a threat in Taiwan. This is the first local study focusing on the association between carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriales and antimicrobial consumption. From January 2012 to December 2020, data were collected in a tertiary care hospital in Taipei, Taiwan. Antimicrobial consumption was estimated by the defined daily dose/1,000 patient-days. During the same period, the prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Escherichia coli (CREC) and carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) were collected through routine surveillance data. The following retrospective analyses were conducted: 1) analysis of antimicrobial consumption over time, (2) analysis and forecast of CREC and CRKP prevalence over time, and 3) analysis of correlation between antimicrobial consumption and the prevalence of CREC and CRKP. The consumption of piperacillin/tazobactam (β = 0.615), fluoroquinolones (β = 0.856), meropenem (β = 0.819), and doripenem (β = 0.891) increased during the observation period (P < 0.001), and the consumption of aminoglycosides (β = -0.852) and imipenem/cilastatin (β = -0.851) decreased (P < 0.001). The prevalence of CRKP rose over time (β = 0.522, P = 0.001) and correlated positively with the consumption of fluoroquinolones, levofloxacin, penicillin/β-lactamase inhibitor, piperacillin/tazobactam, meropenem, and doripenem (P < 0.05). The prevalence of CRKP and CREC both correlated negatively with consumption of aminoglycosides (P < 0.01). The prevalence of CRKP in our hospital increased as the forecast predicted based on an autoregressive integrated moving average model. This study provides alarming messages for members participating in antimicrobial stewardship programs, including the increasing prevalence of CRKP, the increasing consumption of broad-spectrum antibiotics, and the positive correlation between them.