Light at night and lung cancer risk: A worldwide interdisciplinary and time-series study

夜间光照与肺癌风险:一项全球跨学科时间序列研究

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Light at night (LAN) has become a concern in interdisciplinary research in recent years. This global interdisciplinary study aimed to explore the exposure-lag-response association between LAN exposure and lung cancer incidence. METHODS: LAN data were obtained from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program's Operational Linescan System. Data of lung cancer incidence, socio-demographic index, and smoking prevalence of populations in 201 countries/territories from 1992 to 2018 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease Study. Spearman correlation tests and population-weighted linear regression analysis were used to evaluate the correlation between LAN exposure and lung cancer incidence. A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to assess the exposure-lag effects of LAN exposure on lung cancer incidence. RESULTS: The Spearman correlation coefficients were 0.286-0.355 and the population-weighted linear regression correlation coefficients were 0.361-0.527. After adjustment for socio-demographic index and smoking prevalence, the Spearman correlation coefficients were 0.264-0.357 and the population-weighted linear regression correlation coefficients were 0.346-0.497. In the DLNM, the maximum relative risk was 1.04 (1.02-1.06) at LAN exposure of 8.6 with a 2.6-year lag time. After adjustment for socio-demographic index and smoking prevalence, the maximum relative risk was 1.05 (1.02-1.07) at LAN exposure of 8.6 with a 2.4-year lag time. CONCLUSION: High LAN exposure was associated with increased lung cancer incidence, and this effect had a specific lag period. Compared with traditional individual-level studies, this group-level study provides a novel paradigm of effective, efficient, and scalable screening for risk factors.

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