Convolutional neural networks with transfer learning for natural river flow prediction in ungauged basins

基于迁移学习的卷积神经网络在无水文站流域自然河流流量预测中的应用

阅读:1

Abstract

With the increasing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in several scientific domains, there is a rising demand for advanced AI tools capable of addressing advanced research challenges. A challenge of paramount importance lies in accurately predicting the streamflow within river basins. Effective river flow prediction holds significant relevance, particularly given the substantial societal implications of river usage, encompassing areas such as transportation, agriculture, and power generation. The present study introduces a novel approach to streamflow prediction involving the development of a Deep Learning (DL) model that combines a convolutional neural network with Transfer Learning (TL) techniques to predict streamflow in river systems. With the aim of training the developed DL model, the study employed a time-series dataset containing hydrological data related to two distinct river basins, i.e., Paraíba do Sul, in Brazil, and Zambezi in the state of Mozambique. The developed DL models exhibited the capability to effectively predict the river flow with a one-day horizon, relying on the preceding three or seven days of historical data. To overcome the limited availability of training data and reduce the training time of DL models, TL was leveraged to incorporate two additional distinct time-series datasets, i.e., historical streamflow data from the São Francisco River in Brazil, and climate data from Delhi, India. The application of TL significantly reduced training time, leading only to a minimal decrease in prediction performance. Indeed, in the case DL models were trained on data collected from the Paraíba do Sul River, a substantial reduction in training time was observed - up to 27% - with a modest percentage decrease of 0.31% in test predictive performance ([Formula: see text]). Similarly, TL induced a significant reduction in training time of up to 48%, while resulting in a modest 2% reduction in test predictive performance ([Formula: see text]) for the Zambezi dataset. The findings underscore the significance of TL as a strategic and viable approach to improve the efficiency of river flow prediction models in the context of basins with limited hydrological data available.

特别声明

1、本页面内容包含部分的内容是基于公开信息的合理引用;引用内容仅为补充信息,不代表本站立场。

2、若认为本页面引用内容涉及侵权,请及时与本站联系,我们将第一时间处理。

3、其他媒体/个人如需使用本页面原创内容,需注明“来源:[生知库]”并获得授权;使用引用内容的,需自行联系原作者获得许可。

4、投稿及合作请联系:info@biocloudy.com。