Systematic Review of Prehospital Prediction Models for Identifying Intracerebral Haemorrhage in Suspected Stroke Patients

对院前预测模型在识别疑似卒中患者脑出血中的应用进行系统评价

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Abstract

Introduction: The prompt prehospital identification of intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) may allow very early delivery of treatments to limit bleeding. Current prehospital stroke assessment tools have limited accuracy for the detection of ICH as they were designed to recognise all strokes, not ICH specifically. This systematic review aims to evaluate the performance of prehospital models in distinguishing ICH from other causes of suspected stroke. Methods: We adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Following a predefined strategy, we searched three electronic databases via Ovid (MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL) in July 2023 for studies published in English, without date restrictions. Subsequently, data extraction was performed, and methodological quality was assessed using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool. Results: After eliminating duplicates, 6194 records were screened for titles and abstracts. After a full-text review of 137 studies, 9 prediction studies were included. Five of these described prediction models were designed to differentiate between stroke subtypes, three distinguished between ICH and ischaemic stroke, and one model was developed specifically to identify ICH. All studies were assessed as having a high risk of bias, particularly in the analysis domain. The performance of the models varied, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranging from 0.73 to 0.91. The models commonly included the following as predictors of ICH: impaired consciousness, headache, speech or language impairment, high systolic blood pressure, nausea or vomiting, and weakness or paralysis of limbs. Conclusions: Prediction models may support the prehospital diagnosis of ICH, but existing models have methodological limitations, making them unreliable for informing practice. Future studies should aim to address these identified limitations and include a broader range of suspected strokes to develop a practical model for identifying ICH. Combining prediction models with point-of-care tests might further improve the detection accuracy of ICH.

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