The predictive value of modified-DeepSurv in overall survivals of patients with lung cancer

改良版DeepSurv对肺癌患者总生存期的预测价值

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Abstract

The traditional prognostic model may induce the possibility of incorrect assessment of mortality risk under the assumption of linearity. It is urgent to develop a non-linearity precise prognostic model for achieving personalized medicine in lung cancer. In our study, we develop and validate a prognostic model "Modified-DeepSurv" for patients with lung carcinoma based on deep learning and evaluate its value for prognosis, while Cox proportional hazard regression was used to develop another model "CPH." The C-index of the Modified-DeepSurv and CPH was 0.956 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.946-0.974) and 0.836 (95% CI: 0.774-0.896), respectively, in the training cohort, while the C-index of the Modified-DeepSurv and CPH was 0.932 (95%CI: 0.908-0.964) and 0.777 (95%CI: 0.633-0.919), respectively, in the test dataset. The Modified-DeepSurv model visualization was realized by a user-friendly graphic interface. Modified-DeepSurv can effectively predict the survival of lung cancer patients and is superior to the conventional CPH model.

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