Deterioration and improvement: The U-shaped impact of industrialization on agricultural carbon productivity in China

恶化与改善:工业化对中国农业碳生产力的U型影响

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Abstract

Industry and agriculture are two major industries for a country's economic development and also important areas for promoting sustainable development. At present, most countries in the world have started the process of industrialization, and green agriculture is also valued by all countries. So what will be the impact of industrialization on the development of low-carbon agriculture? Studying this problem has a good theoretical and practical significance. To this end, we take the example of China's 2000-2021 provincial samples to study the impact of industrialization on agricultural carbon productivity. The study found that industrialization has a nonlinear effect on agricultural carbon productivity, with a significant U-shaped feature, i.e. first deteriorating and then improving. And there is obvious heterogeneity in this feature. The balance area of grain production and marketing and the main grain selling area are better than the main grain-producing areas, and the eastern and central regions are better than the western region. At the same time, in this process of influence, the level of economic development and urbanization has played a good role mechanism, while the transport infrastructure has played a positive regulatory effect.

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