A random survival forest-based pathomics signature classifies immunotherapy prognosis and profiles TIME and genomics in ES-SCLC patients

基于随机生存森林的病理组学特征对 ES-SCLC 患者的免疫治疗预后进行分类,并分析 TIME 和基因组学

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作者:Yuxin Jiang, Yueying Chen, Qinpei Cheng, Wanjun Lu, Yu Li, Xueying Zuo, Qiuxia Wu, Xiaoxia Wang, Fang Zhang, Dong Wang, Qin Wang #, Tangfeng Lv #, Yong Song #, Ping Zhan #

Background

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a highly aggressive neuroendocrine tumor with high mortality, and only a limited subset of extensive-stage SCLC (ES-SCLC) patients demonstrate prolonged survival under chemoimmunotherapy, which warrants the exploration of reliable biomarkers. Herein, we built a machine learning-based model using pathomics features extracted from hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained images to classify prognosis and explore its potential association with genomics and TIME.

Conclusion

During the median follow-up period of 12.12 months, 118 ES-SCLC patients receiving first-line immunotherapy were recruited. The RSF model utilizing three pathomics features and liver metastases, bone metastases, smoking status, and lactate dehydrogenase, could predict the survival of first-line chemoimmunotherapy in patients with ES-SCLC with favorable discrimination and calibration. Underlyingly, the higher RSF-Score potentially indicated more infiltration of CD8+ T cells in the stroma as well as a greater probability of MCL-1 amplification and EP300 mutation. At the single-cell level, MCL-1 was associated with TNFA-NFKB signaling and apoptosis-related processes. Hopefully, this noninvasive model could act as a biomarker for immunotherapy, potentially facilitating precision medicine in the management of ES-SCLC.

Methods

We retrospectively recruited ES-SCLC patients receiving first-line chemoimmunotherapy at Nanjing Jinling Hospital between April 2020 and August 2023. Digital H&E-stained whole-slide images were acquired, and targeted next-generation sequencing, programmed death ligand-1 staining, and multiplex immunohistochemical staining for immune cells were performed on a subset of patients. A random survival forest (RSF) model encompassing clinical and pathomics features was established to predict overall survival. The function of putative genes was assessed via single-cell RNA sequencing.

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