Linking within-host immune dynamics to between-host transmission and reinfection risk

将宿主内免疫动态与宿主间传播和再感染风险联系起来

阅读:1

Abstract

The link between the virus and antibody dynamics of an infected host to the transmission of the virus to a susceptible population remains a central problem in science as it involves several complex and dynamic processes at different scales. In this study, we integrate deterministic and stochastic within-host models to explore multiscale transmission dynamics. Our methodology accounts for encounter frequency, within-host variability, and reinfection dynamics to assess their impact on epidemic progression. Our results show that within-host stochasticity disrupts synchronized viral peaks, leading to a more uniform transmission pattern and reducing the effectiveness of interventions targeting peak viral load. Considering the half-life of antibodies is 25 days, cycles of reinfections cannot be maintained in small populations, but reinfections become self-sustaining when a circular network exceeds 21 nodes, allowing indefinite circulation. These findings emphasize the need for integrating within-host dynamics in epidemic research.

特别声明

1、本页面内容包含部分的内容是基于公开信息的合理引用;引用内容仅为补充信息,不代表本站立场。

2、若认为本页面引用内容涉及侵权,请及时与本站联系,我们将第一时间处理。

3、其他媒体/个人如需使用本页面原创内容,需注明“来源:[生知库]”并获得授权;使用引用内容的,需自行联系原作者获得许可。

4、投稿及合作请联系:info@biocloudy.com。