Risk Estimates Supporting the 2019 ASCCP Risk-Based Management Consensus Guidelines

支持 2019 年 ASCCP 基于风险的管理共识指南的风险评估

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作者:Didem Egemen, Li C Cheung, Xiaojian Chen, Maria Demarco, Rebecca B Perkins, Walter Kinney, Nancy Poitras, Brian Befano, Alexander Locke, Richard S Guido, Amy L Wiser, Julia C Gage, Hormuzd A Katki, Nicolas Wentzensen, Philip E Castle, Mark Schiffman, Thomas S Lorey

Conclusions

The new risk-based guidelines present recommendations for the management of abnormal screening test and histology results; the key risk estimates supporting guidelines are presented in this article. Comprehensive risk estimates are freely available online at https://CervixCa.nlm.nih.gov/RiskTables.

Methods

From 2003 to 2017 at Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), 1.5 million individuals aged 25 to 65 years were screened with human papillomavirus (HPV) and cytology cotesting scheduled every 3 years. We estimated immediate and 5-year risks of CIN 3+ for combinations of current test

Results

Risk tables are presented for different clinical scenarios. Examples of important results are highlighted; for example, the risk posed by most current abnormalities is greatly reduced if the prior screening round was HPV-negative. The immediate and 5-year risks of CIN 3+ used to decide clinical management are shown. Conclusions: The new risk-based guidelines present recommendations for the management of abnormal screening test and histology results; the key risk estimates supporting guidelines are presented in this article. Comprehensive risk estimates are freely available online at https://CervixCa.nlm.nih.gov/RiskTables.

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