Network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis of infliximab, cyclosporine and tacrolimus for ulcerative colitis

英夫利昔单抗、环孢素和他克莫司治疗溃疡性结肠炎的网络荟萃分析和成本效益分析

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Assess the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of infliximab, cyclosporine and tacrolimus for the treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC). METHODS: A literature search identified studies that investigated infliximab, cyclosporine or tacrolimus compared with placebo in UC patients. Short-term, long-term remission rates and response rates were employed to assess efficacy. Odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals were analyzed. A Markov model was constructed to simulate the progression in a cohort of patients with UC, with an over 10 years of time horizon, with a discount rate of 3%, and established threshold of €30,000/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) or ¥82442/QALY. RESULTS: Results of network meta-analysis showed that the order was cyclosporine, tacrolimus, infliximab and placebo from high rate to low with regard to short-term clinical response. The comparison between infliximab versus cyclosporine achieved an incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) of €184435/QALY and ¥531607/QALY, with a 0.34893 QALYs difference of efficacy, and an incremental cost of €64355 and ¥185494. Tacrolimus versus cyclosporine reached an ICER of €44236/QALY and ¥57494/QALY, with a difference of 0.40963 QALYs in efficacy, and a raising cost to €18120 and ¥23551. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis shows that cyclosporine would be cost-effective in the 75.8% of the simulations, tacrolimus in the 24.2%, and infliximab for the 0%. CONCLUSION: Infliximab, cyclosporine and tacrolimus as salvage therapies are efficacious. For long-term of clinical remission, the order of pharmacological agents was tacrolimus, infliximab and cyclosporine from high efficacy to low while no significant difference is seen. In cost-effectiveness analysis, the cyclosporine versus infliximab or tacrolimus is expected to be at best.

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