Abstract
Group B streptococcus (GBS) is a leading bacterial cause of neonatal sepsis and meningitis in many countries as well as an important cause of disease in pregnant women. Currently, serotype-specific conjugate vaccines are being developed. We conducted an epidemiological analysis of health administrative data to estimate the burden of infant GBS disease in Ontario, Canada and combined these estimates with literature on serotype distribution to estimate the burden of disease likely to be vaccine-preventable. Between 1st January 2005 and 31st December 2015, 907 of 64320 health care encounters in Ontario in patients under 1 year old had codes specifically identifying GBS as the cause of the disease, of which 717 were under one month of age. In addition, application of epidemiological data to the remaining patients allowed us to estimate a further 2322 cases and among them 1822 were under one month of age. In the same period, 579 confirmed neonatal invasive GBS cases in patients up to one month of age were reported to public health. Depending on serotype distribution, vaccination coverage and early versus late onset disease (0-6 days and 7-90 days of age respectively), the preventable fraction ranged widely. With a vaccine that is 90% effective and 60% immunization coverage, up to 52% of early and late onset disease could be prevented by forthcoming vaccines. GBS is under-reported in Ontario. Uncertainty about the potential impact of vaccine indicates that further analysis and research may be needed to prepare for policy-decision making, including clinical validation studies and an economic evaluation of GBS vaccination in Ontario.