Integrative radiopathomics model for predicting progression-free survival in patients with nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma

用于预测非转移性鼻咽癌患者无进展生存期的整合放射病理组学模型

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Abstract

PURPOSE: To construct an integrative radiopathomics model for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) in nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. METHODS: 357 NPC patients who underwent pretreatment MRI and pathological whole-slide imaging (WSI) were included in this study and randomly divided into two groups: a training set (n = 250) and validation set (n = 107). Radiomic features extracted from MRI were selected using the minimum redundancy maximum relevance and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator methods. The pathomics signature based on WSI was constructed using a deep learning architecture, the Swin Transformer. The radiopathomics model was constructed by incorporating three feature sets: the radiomics signature, pathomics signature, and independent clinical factors. The prognostic efficacy of the model was assessed using the concordance index (C-index). Kaplan-Meier curves for the stratified risk groups were tested by the log-rank test. RESULTS: The radiopathomics model exhibited superior predictive performance with C-indexes of 0.791 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.724-0.871) in the training set and 0.785 (95% CI: 0.716-0.875) in the validation set compared to any single-modality model (radiomics: 0.619, 95% CI: 0.553-0.706; pathomics: 0.732, 95% CI: 0.662-0.802; clinical model: 0.655, 95% CI: 0.581-0.728) (all, P < 0.05). The radiopathomics model effectively stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups in both the training and validation sets (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The developed radiopathomics model demonstrated its reliability in predicting PFS for NPC patients. It effectively stratified individual patients into distinct risk groups, providing valuable insights for prognostic assessment.

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