Abstract
PURPOSE: Bone metastasis is a significant contributor to morbidity and mortality in advanced prostate cancer, and early diagnosis is challenging due to its insidious onset. The use of machine learning to obtain prognostic information from pathological images has been highlighted. However, there is a limited understanding of the potential of early prediction of bone metastasis through the feature combination method from various sources. This study presents a method of integrating multimodal data to enhance the feasibility of early diagnosis of bone metastasis in prostate cancer. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Overall, 211 patients diagnosed with prostate cancer (PCa) at Gansu Provincial Hospital between January 2017 and February 2023 were included in this study. The patients were randomized (8:2) into a training group (n = 169) and a validation group (n = 42). The region of interest (ROI) were segmented from the three magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) sequences (T2WI, DWI, and ADC), and pathological features were extracted from tissue sections (hematoxylin and eosin [H&E] staining, 10 × 20). A deep learning (DL) model using ResNet 50 was employed to extract deep transfer learning (DTL) features. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method was utilized for feature selection, feature construction, and reducing feature dimensions. Different machine learning classifiers were used to build predictive models. The performance of the models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves. The net clinical benefit was assessed using decision curve analysis (DCA). The goodness of fit was evaluated using calibration curves. A joint model nomogram was eventually developed by combining clinically independent risk factors. RESULTS: The best prediction models based on DTL and pathomics features showed area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.799-0.989) and 0.85 (95% CI, 0.714-0.989), respectively. The AUC for the best prediction model based on radiomics features and combining radiomics features, DTL features, and pathomics features were 0.86 (95% CI, 0.735-0.979) and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.854-1.000), respectively. Based on DCA and calibration curves, the model demonstrated good net clinical benefit and fit. CONCLUSION: Multimodal radiomics and pathomics serve as valuable predictors of the risk of bone metastases in patients with primary PCa.