Association Between Plasma Levels of Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 (MCP-1) and 28-Day Mortality in Elderly Patients with Sepsis: A Retrospective Single-Center Study

血浆单核细胞趋化蛋白-1 (MCP-1) 水平与老年脓毒症患者28天死亡率的相关性:一项回顾性单中心研究

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Abstract

BACKGROUND Previous studies have identified an association between plasma levels of the inflammatory cytokine, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), and outcomes for patients with sepsis. This retrospective single-center study assessed the association between plasma levels of MCP-1 and 28-day mortality in 136 patients ≥65 years diagnosed with sepsis between October 2020 and October 2021. MATERIAL AND METHODS The objective was to compare and analyze the parameters in the survival group (n=35) and the 28-day mortality group (n=101), including Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), plasma MCP-1, and laboratory test results. Plasma MCP-1 was quantified by cytokine test kit (LKTM014B, R&D). Statistical analysis was carried out in SPSS 26.0 and MedCalc 92.1.0 software. RESULTS The 28-day mortality group exhibited higher levels of SOFA, APACHEII, and plasma MCP-1 (all P<0.001), as well as lower levels of albumin, compared to the survival group (P<0.05). The logistic regression analysis findings indicated that SOFA, APACHEII, plasma MCP-1, and SBP are all independent risk factors for 28-day mortality. The area under the curve for SOFA, APACHEII, MCP-1, MCP-1+ SOFA, and MCP-1+APACHEII were 0.845, 0.744, 0.712, 0.879, and 0.822, respectively. MCP-1+SOFA exhibited higher sensitivity than SOFA alone. Furthermore, the assessment values of plasma MCP-1 combined with SOFA were superior to those of APACHE II or plasma MCP-1 (Z₁=2.661, Z₂=3.272, both P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS The findings from this study from a single center support those of previous studies that increased plasma levels of MCP-1 are significantly associated with 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.

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