Abstract
BACKGROUND: The state of New York expects to receive $115 million in 2022 alone from the U.S. Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act to support the replacement of lead water service lines. OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to determine the number and proportion of potential lead water service lines across New York City (NYC) and to evaluate the association between census tract-level racial/ethnic composition, housing vulnerability, and child lead exposure vulnerability with service line type (Potential Lead, Unknown) for n = 2,083 NYC tracts. METHODS: We conducted a descriptive analysis assessing water service line material recorded in the NYC Department of Environmental Protection's Lead Service Line Location Coordinates database. We used conditional autoregressive Bayesian Poisson models to assess the relative risk [RR; median posterior estimates, and 95% credible interval (CrI)] of service line type per 20% higher proportion of residents in a given racial/ethnic group and per higher housing vulnerability and child lead exposure vulnerability index scores corresponding to the interquartile range. We also evaluated the associations in flexible natural cubic spline models. RESULTS: Out of 854,672 residential service line records, 136,891 (16.0%) were Potential Lead, and 227,443 (26.6%) were Unknown. In fully adjusted models, higher proportions of Hispanic/Latino residents and higher child lead exposure vulnerability were associated with Potential Lead service lines in flexible spline models and linear models [RR = 1.15 (95% CrI: 1.11, 1.21) and RR = 1.11 (95% CrI: 1.02, 1.20), respectively]. Associations were modified by borough; Potential Lead service lines were associated with higher proportions of non-Hispanic White and non-Hispanic Asian residents in the Bronx and Manhattan, and with higher proportions of non-Hispanic Black residents in Queens. DISCUSSION: NYC has a high number of Potential Lead and Unknown water service lines. Communities with a high proportion of Hispanic/Latino residents and those with children who are already highly vulnerable to lead exposures from numerous sources are disproportionately impacted by Potential Lead service lines. These findings can inform equitable service line replacement across New York state and NYC. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP12276.