Abstract
Background and Aims: Endoscopic sleeve gastroplasty (ESG) is a minimally invasive bariatric procedure to induce weight loss through restrictive physiology. This study was designed to evaluate the fluoroscopic measurement of gastric dimensions after ESG as a predictor of Total Body Weight Loss (TBWL) over time. Methods: Post-ESG patients were enrolled prospectively between August 2013 and August 2019. An upper gastrointestinal (GI) fluoroscopy was obtained within 7 days after the procedure. Two blinded, independent radiologists reviewed fluoroscopic images and measured the gastric lumen transverse diameter in three separate areas of the fundus, body, and antrum. The primary outcome was achieving a TBWL of ten percent or more after ESG. Results: In total, 162 patients were included in the analysis (65% female) and had a mean body mass index (BMI) of 39 ± 6 at baseline. Patients had a mean maximum TBWL of 16.5 ± 8.3%. Respectively, 92%, 75%, and 50% of patients achieved a TBWL of 5%, 10%, or 15% or more. The mean post-procedural UGI gastric fundus/antrum transverse measurement ratio was 1.2 ± 0.6. A higher fundus-to-antrum ratio was significantly associated with a TBWL of 10% or more during follow-up in the multivariable model (OR 2.49, 95% CI 1.31-4.71; p-value 0.005). The prediction score based on the fundus-to-antrum ratio hd an area under the ROC curve of 0.79 (95% CI 0.75-0.83) for predicting a TBWL of 10% or more during follow-up. Conclusions: Measuring gastric the fundus/antrum ratio within one week of endoscopic sleeve gastroplasty (ESG) is a consistent and independent predictive measure of sustained TBWL during long-term follow-up.