Abstract
Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) concerns 10⁻20% of acute pancreatitis (AP) patients and is associated with a poor prognosis and high mortality. An early prognosis of the unfavorable outcome, transfer to an intensive care unit (ICU) and the introduction of an adequate treatment are crucial for patients' survival. Recently, the elevated circulating urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (uPAR) has been reported to predict SAP with a high diagnostic accuracy among patients in a tertiary center. The aim of the study was to compare the diagnostic utility of uPAR and other inflammatory markers as the predictors of the unfavorable course of AP in patients admitted to a secondary care hospital within the first 24 h of the onset of AP. The study included 95 patients, eight with a SAP diagnosis. Serum uPAR was measured on admission and in the two subsequent days. On admission, uPAR significantly predicted organ failure, acute cardiovascular failure, acute kidney injury, the need for intensive care, and death. The diagnostic accuracy of the admission uPAR for the prediction of SAP, organ failure, and ICU transfer or death was low to moderate and did not differ significantly from the diagnostic accuracy of interleukin-6, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, D-dimer and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1. In the secondary care hospital, where most patients with AP are initially admitted, uPAR measurements did not prove better than the currently used markers.