Abstract
PURPOSE: To assess the value of quantitative analysis of tumor burden on baseline MRI for prediction of survival in patients with neuroendocrine tumor liver metastases (NELM) undergoing intra-arterial therapies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective single-center analysis included 122 patients with NELM who received conventional (n = 74) or drug-eluting beads, (n = 20) chemoembolization and radioembolization (n = 28) from 2000 to 2014. Overall tumor diameter (1D) and area (2D) of up to 3 largest liver lesions were measured on baseline arterially contrast enhanced MR images. Three-dimensional quantitative analysis was performed using the qEASL tool (IntelliSpace Portal Version 8, Philips) to calculate enhancing tumor burden (the ratio between enhancing tumor volume and total liver volume). Based on Q-statistics, patients were stratified into low tumor burden (TB) or high TB. RESULTS: The survival curves were significantly separated between low TB and high TB groups for 1D (p < 0.001), 2D (p < 0.001) and enhancing TB (p = 0.008) measurements, with, respectively, 2.7, 2.6 and 2.2 times longer median overall survival (MOS) in the low TB group (p < 0.001, p < 0.001 and p = 0.008). Multivariate analysis showed that 1D, 2D, and enhancing TB were independent prognostic factors for MOS, with respective hazard ratios of 0.4 (95%CI: 0.2-0.6, p < 0.001), 0.4 (95%CI: 0.3-0.7, p < 0.001) and 0.5 (95%CI: 0.3-0.8, p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: The overall tumor diameter, overall tumor area, and enhancing tumor burden are strong prognostic factors of overall survival in patients with neuroendocrine tumor liver metastases undergoing intra-arterial therapies.