Prognostic Value of Preoperative Absolute Lymphocyte Count in Children With Tetralogy of Fallot

法洛四联症患儿术前绝对淋巴细胞计数的预后价值

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Abstract

Background Tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) is the most common cyanotic congenital heart disease. Absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) is a low-cost and easy-to-obtain inflammatory indicator; however, its association with the prognosis of patients with TOF remains unknown. This study aimed to determine the prognostic value of preoperative ALC in children with TOF. Methods and Results This retrospective study included 707 patients aged <6 years who underwent corrective operations for TOF between January 2016 and December 2018 in Fuwai Hospital, China. The end points were mortality, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation placement, postoperative hospital stay >30 days, and severe postoperative complications; patients were grouped on the basis of prognosis: poor prognosis (n=76) and good prognosis (n=631). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the independent risk factors for poor prognosis, on which a risk scoring system was based. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to assess model performance. Using another model without ALC, the effect of the addition of ALC was assessed. Results suggested that ALC was an independent factor with a cutoff point of 4.36×10(9)/L. The addition of ALC improved the area under the curve from 0.771 to 0.781 (P<0.001). To avoid reverse causality and further control for confounding factors, the patients were further divided on the basis of ALC level, and a propensity score matching was performed; 117 paired patients were identified for further analysis. Low ALC levels had an odds ratio of 3.500 (95% CI, 1.413-8.672). Conclusions Low preoperative ALC represents an independent predictor of poor prognosis in children with TOF.

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