Abstract
BACKGROUND: Elevated serum urea levels are common in moderate-to-advanced CKD. Several studies have shown that urea is a direct and indirect uremic toxin, especially with regard to cardiovascular disease. We sought to determine whether serum urea levels are associated with adverse cardiovascular events and death before renal replacement therapy (RRT) in patients with CKD. METHODS: CKD-REIN is a prospective cohort of CKD nephrology outpatients not receiving maintenance dialysis. The 2507 patients included in the analysis were divided into three groups according to the baseline serum urea level (T1 < 10.5, T2:10.5 to 15.1, and T3 ≥ 15.1 mmol/L). Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for first atheromatous or nonatheromatous cardiovascular (CV) events, and all-cause mortality before RRT. The models were adjusted for baseline comorbidities, laboratory data, and medications. FINDINGS: Of the 2507 included patients (median [interquartile range (IQR)] age: 69[61-77]; mean (standard deviation) eGFR 33.5(11.6) mL/min/1.73 m²), 54% had a history of cardiovascular disease. After multiple adjustments for cardiovascular risk factors (including eGFR), patients in T3 had a higher risk of atheromatous and nonatheromatous cardiovascular events than patient in T1 (n events = 451, HR[95%CI]: 1.93[1.39-2.69]). The adjusted HRs for death before RRT (n events = 407) were 1.31[0.97; 1.76] and 1.73[1.22; 2.45] for patients T2 and those in T3, respectively. INTERPRETATION: Our data suggested that urea is a predictor of cardiovascular outcomes beyond CV risk factors including eGFR.