Abstract
Superficial temporal artery-middle cerebral artery (STA-MCA) bypass surgery represents the primary treatment for Moyamoya disease (MMD), with its efficacy contingent upon collateral vessel development. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model for the non-invasive assessment of STA-MCA bypass surgery efficacy in MMD. This study enrolled 118 MMD patients undergoing STA-MCA bypass surgery. Clinical features were screened to construct a clinical model. MRI features were extracted from the middle cerebral artery supply area using 3D Slicer and employed to build five ML models using logistic regression algorithm. The combined model was developed by integrating the radiomics score (Rad-score) with the clinical features. Model performance validation was conducted using ROC curves. Platelet count (PLT) was identified as a significant clinical feature for constructing the clinical model. A total of 3404 features (851 × 4) were extracted, and 15 optimal features were selected from each MRI sequence as predictive factors. Multivariable logistic regression identified PLT and Rad-score as independent parameters used for constructing the combined model. In the testing set, the AUC of the T1WI ML model [0.84 (95% CI, 0.70-0.97)] was higher than that of the clinical model [0.66 (95% CI, 0.46-0.86)] and the combined model [0.80 (95% CI, 0.66-0.95)]. The T1WI ML model can be used to assess the postoperative efficacy of STA-MCA bypass surgery for MMD.