Estimated effect of teenage pregnancy on adverse birth outcome in Sub-Saharan African countries: propensity score matching analysis of recent demographic and health survey data

青少年怀孕对撒哈拉以南非洲国家不良出生结局的估计影响:基于近期人口与健康调查数据的倾向评分匹配分析

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Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Globally adverse birth outcome is being a series public health problem. As studies showed, even though the etiologies are multifactorial, extreme age pregnancies have more risk for adverse birth outcome. This study determines the estimated effect of teenage pregnancy on adverse birth outcome. METHOD: The study analyzed data from the most recent Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) data. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was employed by using age as treatment variable, teenager as treated and non-teenagers as control group and weighted sample of 45,790 (non-teenagers = 41,769 and teenagers = 4,021). The outcome variable; adverse birth outcome was categorized as "Yes" if a woman had either preterm birth, still birth, low birth weight or macrosomia in her recent birth and "No" otherwise. Covariates that had significant association with the treatment and outcome variables were considered for PSM analysis. After testing of each matching techniques (nearest neighbor, kernel and radius), the nearest neighbor (10) approach produced better covariate balance and selected as the best matching algorism for our analysis. Finally, the effect of teenage pregnancy on adverse birth outcome was measured and reported as average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) and the quality of matching and sensitivity to hidden bias was assed by t-statistics significance level and Mantel-Haenszel statistic respectively. RESULTS: This study found that around one in ten (8.7%) of the women had pregnancy between the age of 15 and 19 years. The magnitude of adverse birth outcome among teenagers and non-teenagers was also 45.4% and 39.9% respectively. Teenage pregnancy contributed to a 4.7% increasing adverse birth outcome (ATT = 4.7%). Similarly, the Average Treatment Effect on Untreated (ATU) was 4.8%. CONCLUSION: This study revealed that around one in teen women had pregnancy between the age of 15 and 19 years and teenage pregnancy had more risk of having adverse birth outcomes as compared to non-teenagers. Thus, we recommend to policy makers and implementers to design policies and strategies to improve teenagers' access to prenatal care, family planning, and sexual education, awareness of creation on teenage pregnancy risks.

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