Abstract
Existing research on the detrimental effects of air pollution and its mixture on multiple chronic conditions (MCC) is not yet fully recognized. Our objective was to examine if individual and joint exposure to air pollution is associated with the incidence and patterns of MCC. Totally 10,231 CHARLS 2015 participants aged over 45 years and 1,938 without MCC were followed up in 2018 and 2020. Residential-levelcumulative personal exposure concentrations of PM(1), PM(10), PM(2.5), CO, O(3), NO(2), SO(2), NO(3)(-), Cl(-), NH(4)(+), and SO(4)(2-) at the residential level were determined utilizing a spatio-temporal random forest model with a spatial resolution of 0.1° × 0.1°. In the cross-sectional and longitudinal research, logistic regression, cox regression analysis, and quantile g-computation were utilized to estimate the single and joint effect with MCC and its patterns, respectively. Interaction analyses and stratified analyses were also performed. A correlation was observed between the prevalence of cardiovascular illnesses and the presence of all 11 major air pollutants. PM(2.5), PM(10), NH(4)(+), NO(3)(-), CO, and SO(4)(2-) are associated with an increased frequency of respiratory disorders. An increase of PM(2.5), PM(1), PM(10), NO(2), and SO(2) (a 10 µg/m(3) rise), CO (a 0.1 mg/m3 rise), and PMCs (Cl(-), NH(4)(+), NO(3)(-), and SO(4)(2-)) (a 1 µg/m(3) rise) corresponded to the HRs (95% CI) for developing MCC of 1.194 (95% CI: 1.043, 1.367), 1.362 (95% CI: 1.073, 1.728), 1.115 (95% CI: 1.026, 1.212), 1.443 (95% CI: 1.151, 1.808), 3.175 (95% CI: 2.291, 4.401), 1.272 (95% CI: 1.149,1.410), 1.382 (95% CI: 1.011, 1.888), 1.107 (95% CI: 1.003, 1.222), 1.035 (95% CI: 0.984, 1.088), and 1.122 (95% CI: 1.086, 1.160), respectively. SO(2) was the predominant contributor to the combined effect (HR: 2.083, 95% CI: 1.659-2.508). Gender, age, drinking, and health status could modify the effects of air pollutants on MCC patterns. Long-term exposure to air pollution is correlated to the incidence and patterns of MCC in middle-aged and elderly Chinese individuals. Preventive methods are essential to safeguarding those susceptible to MCC.