Abstract
Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) represents one of the most prevalent and malignant tumors of epithelial origins with unfavorable outcomes. Increasing evidence has shown that dysregulated long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) correlate with tumorigenesis and genomic instability (GI), while the roles of GI-related lncRNAs in the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) and predicting cancer therapy are still yet to be clarified. In this study, transcriptome and somatic mutation profiles with clinical parameters were obtained from the TCGA database. Patients were classified into GI-like and genomic stable (GS)-like groups according to the top 25% and bottom 25% cumulative counts of somatic mutations. Differentially expressed lncRNAs (DElncRNAs) between GI- and GS-like groups were identified as GI-related lncRNAs. These lncRNA-related coding genes were enriched in cancer-related KEGG pathways. Patients totaling 499 with clinical information were randomly divided into the training and validation sets. A total of 18 DElncRNAs screened by univariate Cox regression analysis were associated with overall survival (OS) in the training set. A GI-related lncRNA signature that comprised 10 DElncRNAs was generated through least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso)-Cox regression analysis. Patients in the high-risk group have significantly decreased OS vs. patients in the low-risk group, which was verified in internal validation and entire HNSCC sets. Integrated HNSCC sets from GEO confirmed the notable survival stratification of the signature. The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve demonstrated that the signature was reliable. In addition, the signature retained a strong performance of OS prediction for patients with various clinicopathological features. Cell composition analysis showed high anti-tumor immunity in the low-risk group which was evidenced by increased infiltrating CD8(+) T cells and natural killer cells and reduced cancer-associated fibroblasts, which was convinced by immune signatures analysis via ssGSEA algorithm. T helper/IFNγ signaling, co-stimulatory, and co-inhibitory signatures showed increased expression in the low-risk group. Low-risk patients were predicted to be beneficial to immunotherapy, which was confirmed by patients with progressive disease who had high risk scores vs. complete remission patients. Furthermore, the drugs that might be sensitive to HNSCC were identified. In summary, the novel prognostic GILncRNA signature provided a promising approach for characterizing the TIME and predicting therapeutic strategies for HNSCC patients.