Abstract
Emerging evidence suggests that post-stroke aphasia severity depends on the integrity of the brain beyond the stroke lesion. While measures of lesion anatomy and brain integrity combine synergistically to explain aphasic symptoms, significant interindividual variability remains unaccounted for. A possible explanatory factor may be the spatial distribution of brain atrophy beyond the lesion. This includes not just the specific brain areas showing atrophy, but also distinct three-dimensional patterns of atrophy. Here, we tested whether deep learning with Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) on whole brain morphometry (i.e., segmented tissue volumes) and lesion anatomy can better predict which individuals with chronic stroke (N=231) have severe aphasia, and whether encoding spatial dependencies in the data might be capable of improving predictions by identifying unique individualized spatial patterns. We observed that CNN achieves significantly higher accuracy and F1 scores than Support Vector Machine (SVM), even when the SVM is nonlinear or integrates linear and nonlinear dimensionality reduction techniques. Performance parity was only achieved when the SVM was directly trained on the latent features learned by the CNN. Saliency maps demonstrated that the CNN leveraged widely distributed patterns of brain atrophy predictive of aphasia severity, whereas the SVM focused almost exclusively on the area around the lesion. Ensemble clustering of CNN saliency maps revealed distinct morphometry patterns that were unrelated to lesion size, highly consistent across individuals, and implicated unique brain networks associated with different cognitive processes as measured by the wider neuroimaging literature. Individualized predictions of severity depended on both ipsilateral and contralateral features outside of the location of stroke. Our findings illustrate that three-dimensional network distributions of atrophy in individuals with aphasia are directly associated with aphasia severity, underscoring the potential for deep learning to improve prognostication of behavioral outcomes from neuroimaging data, and highlighting the prospective benefits of interrogating spatial dependence at different scales in multivariate feature space.