Abstract
Background and Objectives: Ureteral kinking may hinder endoscopic access and reduce the success of ureteroscopic lithotripsy (URSL). This study evaluated whether kinking can be predicted preoperatively using non-contrast computed tomography (CT) by introducing a novel metric-Maximum Horizontal Ureteral Displacement (HUDmax)-and assessed its predictive value for procedural success. Materials and Methods: Data from 1261 patients who underwent URSL for a single ureteral stone were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were categorized into two groups based on whether the stone could be reached using a semirigid ureteroscope. Propensity score matching (1:2) was performed based on stone size and location, resulting in two matched cohorts: Group 1-Semirigid Inaccessible (SRI, n = 72), and Group 2-Semirigid Accessible (SRA, n = 144). Stone characteristics, ureteral wall thickness (UWT), and HUDmax were evaluated. Correlations between HUDmax and surgical parameters were analyzed, and the predictive value of HUDmax was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results: The SRI group showed significantly higher HUDmax values (median 2.36 mm vs. 1.2 mm, p < 0.0001). Semirigid access failure necessitated conversion to flexible ureteroscopy in all SRI cases, compared to 15% in the SRA group (p < 0.0001). Stone-free rates were significantly lower in the SRI group (45% vs. 82%, p < 0.0001), and the use of a double-J stent or nephrostomy placement was more frequent. Operative times were also longer in the SRI group (55 vs. 42 min, p < 0.0001). HUDmax correlated positively with operative time (r = 0.258, p = 0.005) but not with stone size, density, UWT, or hydronephrosis. ROC analysis showed HUDmax strongly predicted semirigid access failure (AUC: 0.805; cutoff: 1.58 mm), and moderately predicted stone-free status (AUC: 0.697; cutoff: 1.68 mm). Conclusions: Severe ureteral kinking constitutes a significant anatomical obstacle to the success of semirigid URSL. This study is the first to demonstrate that clinically relevant kinking can be predicted preoperatively using a non-contrast imaging modality, via the novel HUDmax parameter.