Abstract
Background and Objective: Lung transplantation is the only life-extending therapy for end-stage pulmonary disease patients, but its risks necessitate an understanding of outcome predictors, with the frailty index and nutritional status being key assessment tools. This study aims to evaluate the relationship between preoperative frailty and nutritional indexes and the postoperative mortality rate in patients receiving lung transplants, and to determine which measure is a more potent predictor of outcomes. Materials and Methods: This study reviewed 185 adults who received lung transplants at a single medical center between January 2013 and May 2023. We primarily focused on postoperative 7-year overall survival. Other outcomes measured were short-term mortalities, acute rejection, kidney complications, infections, and re-transplantation. We compared the predictive abilities of preoperative nutritional and frailty indicators for survival using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and identified factors affecting survival through regression analyses. Results: There were no significant differences in preoperative nutritional indicators between survivors and non-survivors. However, preoperative frailty indicators did differ significantly between these groups. Multivariate analysis revealed that the American Society of Anesthesiologists Class V, clinical frailty scale, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) were key predictors of 7-year overall survival. Of these, the CCI had the strongest predictive ability with an area under the curve of 0.755, followed by the modified frailty index at 0.731. Conclusions: Our study indicates that for critically ill patients undergoing lung transplantation, frailty indexes derived from preoperative patient history and functional autonomy are more effective in forecasting postoperative outcomes, including survival, than indexes related to preoperative nutritional status.