A multimodal stacked ensemble model for cardiac output prediction utilizing cardiorespiratory interactions during general anesthesia

利用全身麻醉期间心肺相互作用预测心输出量的多模态堆叠集成模型

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Abstract

This study examined the possibility of estimating cardiac output (CO) using a multimodal stacking model that utilizes cardiopulmonary interactions during general anesthesia and outlined a retrospective application of machine learning regression model to a pre-collected dataset. The data of 469 adult patients (obtained from VitalDB) with normal pulmonary function tests who underwent general anesthesia were analyzed. The hemodynamic data in this study included non-invasive blood pressure, plethysmographic heart rate, and SpO(2). CO was recorded using Vigileo and EV1000 (pulse contour technique devices). Respiratory data included mechanical ventilation parameters and end-tidal CO(2) levels. A generalized linear regression model was used as the metalearner for the multimodal stacking ensemble method. Random forest, generalized linear regression, gradient boosting machine, and XGBoost were used as base learners. A Bland-Altman plot revealed that the multimodal stacked ensemble model for CO prediction from 327 patients had a bias of - 0.001 L/min and - 0.271% when calculating the percentage of difference using the EV1000 device. Agreement of model CO prediction and measured Vigileo CO in 142 patients reported a bias of - 0.01 and - 0.333%. Overall, this model predicts CO compared to data obtained by the pulse contour technique CO monitors with good agreement.

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