Prognostic Factors Related to In-hospital Death in Children with Biliary Atresia: Analysis of a Nationwide Inpatient Database

胆道闭锁患儿院内死亡的预后因素:一项基于全国住院数据库的分析

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Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with biliary atresia (BA) are prone to hepatic decompensation, which might eventually lead to death. This study aimed to identify the possible risk factors affecting in-hospital death in BA patients in China. METHODS: We collected data from the Hospital Quality Monitoring System, a national inpatient database. All patients aged up to 2 years old with a diagnosis of BA were included. The subjects were divided to three groups, including Kasai portoenterostomy (KP), liver transplantation (LT), and no surgery. Logistic regression with Firth's method was performed to identify potential influencing variables associated with in-hospital death. RESULTS: During the year 2013 to 2017, there were 14,038 pediatric admissions with a diagnosis of BA. The proportion of in-hospital death in pediatric BA admissions was 1.08%. Compared with patients under six months, there was a higher risk of in-hospital death for children aged six months to 1 year and 1-2 years old. Clinical signs, including cirrhosis, variceal bleeding, and hepatic encephalopathy, were significantly associated with the risk of in-hospital death. In no surgery group, compared to those in Beijing and Shanghai, BA patients admitted in other districts had a lower risk of in-hospital death (OR=0.39, 95% CI: 0.21, 0.70). However, in the LT group, patients admitted in other districts had a higher risk of in-hospital death (OR=9.13, 95% CI: 3.99, 20.87). CONCLUSIONS: In-hospital survival remains unsatisfactory for pediatric BA patients with severe complications. Furthermore, more resources and training for BA treatment, especially LT, are essential for districts with poor medical care in the future.

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