Abstract
Background Urolithiasis, characterized by the formation of stones in the urinary tract, is a common condition with significant morbidity. Medical expulsive therapy (MET) has emerged as a non-invasive treatment modality for facilitating the spontaneous passage of ureteral stones. However, MET success varies widely among individuals, and identifying predictive factors for treatment outcomes is crucial for optimizing patient care. Objective This study aimed to evaluate the predictive role of radiological and hematological parameters in the success of MET for ureteral stones. Methods A prospective observational cohort study was conducted at the Department of Urology, tertiary care center, Patna, involving consecutive patients who underwent MET for ureteral stones. Radiological parameters (stone size, location, and hydronephrosis) and hematological markers (C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR)) were assessed as predictors of treatment success. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify significant predictors of MET success. Results Among the 156 patients included in the study (mean age: 42 years; range: 18-50 years), radiological parameters, such as smaller stone size (<10 mm) and absence of hydronephrosis, were significantly associated with higher rates of MET success (p<0.05). Lower CRP levels (p<0.001) and NLR (p<0.05) were also predictive of treatment success. Logistic regression analysis confirmed the independent predictive value of these parameters after adjusting for potential confounders. Conclusion Radiological and hematological parameters are valuable predictors of the success of MET for ureteral stones. Incorporating these predictive factors into clinical decision-making can optimize treatment outcomes and minimize unnecessary interventions in patients with a higher likelihood of spontaneous stone passage.