Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Accurate biomarkers that reflect disease activity, severity, and molecular pathophysiology in multiple sclerosis (MS) remain an unmet diagnostic need. We compared the performance of the established biomarkers, neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), with emerging candidates in CSF and serum. METHODS: We measured 21 analytes using Olink proximity extension assay technology, NfL and GFAP using Simoa, and soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells (sTREM2) and neuronal pentraxin 2 (NPTX2) using Fujirebio platforms in paired CSF and serum/plasma samples from 293 participants. The cohort included patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), primary progressive MS (PPMS), and secondary progressive MS (SPMS), as well as individuals with inflammatory neurologic disease and symptomatic controls (SCs). CSF and serum biomarker levels were compared across diagnostic groups using multivariable Cox and linear regression models. Associations were assessed using CSF immunoglobulin profiles, time from first to second clinical event, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores in CIS, as well as the Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) in patients with MS. RESULTS: Eight biomarkers showed consistent differential expression. In CSF, CXCL13, CXCL9, IL-12b, and NfL were elevated in most CIS and MS subgroups compared with SCs. Osteopontin (OPN) levels were increased in RRMS and PPMS subgroups, whereas TNFRSF10A elevations were confined to patients with PPMS. In serum, NfL was elevated across all CIS and MS subgroups, GFAP was increased in RRMS and SPMS subgroups, and myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein (MOG) was increased in RRMS and PPMS subgroups. Higher CSF levels of CXCL13, CXCL9, and IL-12b predicted shorter intervals to a second clinical attack and correlated strongly with intrathecal IgM synthesis. Elevated EDSS scores at CIS onset were linked to higher CSF levels of CXCL13, IL-12b, TNFRSF10A, and OPN, and to NfL, GFAP, and MOG in serum. Prediction of future MSSS was limited to GFAP in CSF, whereas in serum, GFAP, MOG, OPN, and CXCL9 were significantly associated. DISCUSSION: CSF CXCL13, CXCL9, and IL-12b are promising biomarkers for predicting relapse activity, while serum GFAP and MOG appear to be consistent candidates for prognosticating disease severity.