Conclusion
We found that in this community-based study of adults without significant kidney disease, lower proximal tubular secretory solute clearance is associated with future eGFR decline.
Methods
We designed a nested case-control study within the Jackson Heart Study (JHS), a prospective study of African American adults in Mississippi, to associate baseline differences in proximal tubular secretion of 5 endogenously produced solutes with future estimated glomerular rate (eGFR) decline. We matched 127 pairs by creatinine-eGFR, age, diabetes, and sex among the patients who provided a 24-hour urine collection; cases had a ≥25% decline in eGFR compared to <10% in controls over 10 years of follow-up. We measured baseline plasma and urine concentrations of secretory solutes using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry to determine the odds ratio of kidney disease progression.
Results
Mean age was 60 years; 76% were women; 30% had diabetes; mean baseline eGFR was 94±20 ml/min per 1.73 m2. The eGFR decline over 10 years was 38±13% in cases and 0±10% in controls. After adjustment for the matching variables plus albuminuria, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, and smoking, each 50% lower kidney clearance of isovalerylglycine, kynurenic acid, and xanthosine were associated with 1.4 to 2.2 greater odds of eGFR decline. Kynurenic acid exhibited the strongest association; each 50% lower clearance of this secretory solute was associated with 2.20-fold higher odds of eGFR decline (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32-3.67).