Abstract
In the tumor microenvironment (TME), CD8+ T cells showed stage exhaustion due to the continuous stimulation of tumor antigens. To evaluate the status of CD8+ T cells and reverse the exhaustion is the key to evaluate the prognosis and therapeutic effect of tumor patients. The aim of this study was to establish a prognostic signature that could effectively predict prognosis and response to immunotherapy in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We used univariate Cox analysis to obtain transcription factors associated with CD8+ T cell exhaustion from The Cancer Genome Atlas dataset. Then, the prognostic signature for transcription factors basic leucine zipper ATF-like transcription factor, Eomesodermin, and T-box protein 21 regulating T cell exhaustion was constructed using LASSO Cox regression. The relative expression levels of the mRNA of the 3 transcription factors were detected by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction in 23 pairs of HCC and paracancer tissues, and verified internally in The Cancer Genome Atlas dataset and externally in the International Cancer Genome Consortium dataset. Cox regression analysis showed that risk score was an independent prognostic variable. The overall survival of the high-risk group was significantly lower than that of the low-risk group. The low-risk group had higher immune scores, matrix scores, and ESTIMATE scores, and significantly increased expression levels of most immune checkpoint genes in the low-risk group. Therefore, patients with lower risk scores benefit more from immunotherapy. The combination of the 3 transcription factors can evaluate the exhaustion state of CD8+ T cells in the TME, laying a foundation for evaluating the TME and immunotherapy efficacy in patients with HCC.