Abstract
PURPOSE: Rural hospital closures since 2005 reached 194 this year, raising concerns for rural health care access. Little is known about the effects of facility closures on the local long-term care sector. This analysis models the relationship between rural hospital closure and nursing homes in the same county. We explore nursing home-level outcomes related to utilization and resident health. METHODS: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Healthcare Cost Report Information System, LTCFocus, and NC Rural Health Research Program hospital closure datasets are used to conduct a difference-in-differences study of closures from 2012 to 2019. FINDINGS: We do not find evidence that hospital closure impacted non-hospital-based nursing home occupancy rate, proportion of Medicare paying residents, or average resident ADL score. However, hospitalizations per resident year declined by 0.13 following closure (95% CI: -0.24, -0.02), representing a change of 0.33 standard deviations from the grand mean. It is unclear if reduced nursing home hospitalizations reflect a reduction in emergent, urgent, or elective admissions. CONCLUSIONS: Our results build on the existing body of hospital closure literature by highlighting the understudied role of hospitals in rural postacute and long-term care. To our knowledge, this was the first study examining the impacts of hospital closure on nursing homes. These findings are particularly relevant in the wake of COVID-19 as rural long-term care facilities and hospitals alike navigate exacerbated workforce and funding challenges.