Risk prediction models for successful discontinuation in acute kidney injury undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy

急性肾损伤患者接受连续性肾脏替代治疗后成功停药的风险预测模型

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Abstract

Continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) is a commonly utilized treatment modality for individuals experiencing severe acute kidney injury (AKI). The objective of this research was to construct and assess prognostic models for the timely discontinuation of CRRT in critically ill AKI patients receiving this intervention. Data were collected retrospectively from the MIMIC-IV database (n = 758) for model development and from the intensive care unit (ICU) of Huzhou Central Hospital (n = 320) for model validation. Nine machine learning models were developed by utilizing LASSO regression to select features. In the training set, all models demonstrated an AUROC exceeding 0.75. In the validation set, the XGBoost model exhibited the highest AUROC of 0.798, leading to its selection as the optimal model for the development of an online calculator for clinical applications. The XGBoost model demonstrates significant predictive capabilities in determining the discontinuation of CRRT.

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