Abstract
Purpose: The Emergency Room Evaluation and Recommendation (ER(2)) is an application in the electronic medical file of patients visiting the Emergency Department (ED) of the Jewish General Hospital (JGH; Montreal, Quebec, Canada). It screens for older ED visitors at high risk of undesirable events. The aim of this study is to examine the performance criteria (i.e., sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value [PPV], negative predictive value [NPV], positive likelihood ratio [LR+], negative likelihood ratio [LR-] and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]) of the ER(2) high-risk level and its "temporal disorientation" item alone to screen for major neurocognitive disorders in older ED visitors at the JGH. Methods: Based on a cross-sectional design, 999 older adults (age 84.9 ± 5.6, 65.1% female) visiting the ED of the JGH were selected from the ER(2) database. ER(2) was completed upon the patients' arrival at the ED. The outcomes were ER(2)'s high-risk level, the answer to ER(2)'s temporal disorientation item (present vs. absent), and the diagnosis of major neurocognitive disorders (yes vs. no) which was confirmed when it was present in a letter or other files signed by a physician. Results: The sensitivities of both ER(2)'s high-risk level and temporal disorientation item were high (≥0.91). Specificity, the PPV, LR+, and AROC were higher for the temporal disorientation item compared to ER(2)'s high-risk level, whereas a highest sensitivity, LR-, and NPV were obtained with the ER(2) high-risk level. Both area under the receiver operating characteristic curves were high (0.71 for ER(2)'s high-risk level and 0.82 for ER(2) temporal disorientation item). The odds ratios (OR) of ER(2)'s high-risk level and of temporal disorientation item for the diagnosis of major neurocognitive disorders were positive and significant with all OR above 18, the highest OR being reported for the temporal disorientation item in the unadjusted model [OR = 26.4 with 95% confidence interval (CI) = 17.7-39.3]. Conclusion: Our results suggest that ER(2) and especially its temporal disorientation item may be used to screen for major neurocognitive disorders in older ED users.