Tracking Biases: An Update to the Validity and Reliability of Alcohol Retail Sales Data for Estimating Population Consumption in Scotland

追踪偏差:苏格兰酒精零售销售数据在估算人口消费量方面的有效性和可靠性更新

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Abstract

AIMS: To highlight the importance of monitoring biases when using retail sales data to estimate population alcohol consumption. METHODS: Previously, we identified and where possible quantified sources of bias that may lead to under- or overestimation of alcohol consumption in Scotland. Here, we update findings by using more recent data and by quantifying emergent biases. RESULTS: Underestimation resulting from the net effect of biases on population consumption in Scotland increased from -4% in 2010 to -7% in 2013. CONCLUSION: Biases that might impact on the validity and reliability of sales data when estimating population consumption should be routinely monitored and updated.

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