The prognostic value of systemic immune-inflammation index and prognostic nutritional index for colorectal cancer cases with liver metastasis post-transcatheter arterial chemoembolization

系统性免疫炎症指数和预后营养指数对经导管动脉化疗栓塞术后肝转移性结直肠癌患者的预后价值

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Abstract

AIMS: This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) for overall survival (OS) in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with liver metastasis after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 270 CRC patients who underwent TACE was conducted. Baseline comparisons were made between survivors (n = 142) and non-survivors (n = 128) focusing on tumor size, AFP, SII, and PNI. Prognostic factors were analyzed using Cox regression, ROC curves, and Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: Significant differences in tumor size, AFP, SII, and PNI were found between the two groups. Multivariate Cox regression revealed that larger tumor size (HR = 1.110, p < 0.001), higher AFP (HR = 1.003, p < 0.001), and elevated SII (HR = 1.001, p < 0.001) were associated with poorer OS, while higher PNI (HR = 0.944, p < 0.001) was protective. ROC analysis yielded AUCs of 0.852 for SII and 0.876 for PNI, with a combined model improving to 0.948. Kaplan-Meier showed that high SII (≥1324.165) and low PNI (<40.915) were associated with poorer 3-year OS (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: SII and PNI are valuable prognostic indicators for OS in CRC patients post-TACE. Elevated SII and reduced PNI predict worse outcomes, and their combination enhances survival prediction.

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