Abstract
BACKGROUND: Body mass index (BMI) change after a lung cancer diagnosis has been associated with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) survival. This study aimed to quantify the association based on a large-scale observational study. METHODS: Included in the study were 7,547 patients with NSCLC with prospectively collected BMI data from Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Women's Hospital/Dana-Farber Cancer Institute. Cox proportional hazards regression with time-dependent covariates was used to estimate effect of time-varying postdiagnosis BMI change rate (% per month) on overall survival (OS), stratified by clinical subgroups. Spline analysis was conducted to quantify the nonlinear association. A Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis with a total of 3,495 patients further validated the association. RESULTS: There was a J-shape association between postdiagnosis BMI change and OS among patients with NSCLC. Specifically, a moderate BMI decrease [0.5-2.0; HR = 2.45; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.25-2.67] and large BMI decrease (≥2.0; HR = 4.65; 95% CI, 4.15-5.20) were strongly associated with worse OS, whereas moderate weight gain (0.5-2.0) reduced the risk for mortality (HR = 0.78; 95% CI, 0.68-0.89) and large weight gain (≥2.0) slightly increased the risk of mortality without reaching statistical significance (HR = 1.10; 95% CI, 0.86-1.42). MR analyses supported the potential causal roles of postdiagnosis BMI change in survival. CONCLUSIONS: This study indicates that BMI change after diagnosis was associated with mortality risk. IMPACT: Our findings, which reinforce the importance of postdiagnosis BMI surveillance, suggest that weight loss or large weight gain may be unwarranted.