Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Currently, radiomics focuses on intratumoral regions and fixed peritumoral regions, and lacks an optimal peritumoral region taken to predict KI-67 expression. The aim of this study was to develop a machine learning model to analyze ultrasound radiomics features with different regions of peri-tumor fetch values to determine the optimal peri-tumor region for predicting KI-67 expression. METHODS: A total of 453 breast cancer patients were included. They were randomly assigned to training and validation sets in a 7:3 ratio. In the training cohort, machine learning models were constructed for intra-tumor and different peri-tumor regions (2 mm, 4 mm, 6 mm, 8 mm, 10 mm), identifying the relevant Ki-67 features for each ROI and comparing the different models to determine the best model. These models were validated using a test cohort to find the most accurate peri-tumor region for Ki-67 prediction. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the performance of predicting KI-67 expression, and the Delong test was used to assess the difference between each AUC.SHAP (Shapley Additive Decomposition) was performed to analyze the optimal prediction model and quantify the contribution of major radiomics features. RESULTS: In the validation cohort, the SVM model with the combination of intratumoral and peritumoral 6 mm regions showed the highest prediction effect, with an AUC of 0.9342.The intratumoral and peritumoral 6-mm SVM models showed statistically significant differences (P < 0.05) compared to the other models. SHAP analysis showed that peri-tumoral 6 mm features were more important than intratumoral features. CONCLUSION: SVM models using intratumoral and peritumoral 6 mm regions showed the best results in prediction of KI-67 expression.