Abstract
We aimed to examine trajectories of inflammatory markers and cognitive decline over 10 years. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between interleukin-6 and C-reactive protein (CRP) trajectory components (slope, variability, and baseline level) and cognitive decline among 1323 adults, aged 70-79 years in the Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study. We tested for interactions by sex and apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotype. In models adjusted for multiple covariates and comorbidities, extreme CRP variability was significantly associated with cognitive decline (hazard ratio [HR] 1.6, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1-2.3). This association was modified by sex and APOE e4 (p < 0.001 for both), such that the association remained among women (HR = 1.8; 95% CI: 1.1, 3.0) and among those with no APOE e4 allele (HR = 1.6; 95% CI: 1.1, 2.5). There were no significant associations between slope or baseline level of CRP and cognitive decline nor between interleukin-6 and cognitive decline. We believe CRP variability likely reflects poor control of or greater changes in vascular or metabolic disease over time, which in turn is associated with cognitive decline.