Abstract
Potamodromous fish are considered important indicators of habitat connectivity in freshwater ecosystems, but they are globally threatened by anthropogenic impacts. Hence, non-invasive techniques are necessary for monitoring during spawning migrations. The use of environmental DNA (eDNA) potentially facilitates these efforts, albeit quantitative examinations of spawning migrations remain so far mostly uncharted. Here, we investigated spawning migrations of Danube bleak, Alburnus mento, and Vimba bream, Vimba vimba, and found a strong correlation between daily visual fish counts and downstream eDNA signals obtained from filtered water samples analysed with digital PCR and end-point PCR coupled with capillary electrophoresis. By accounting for daily discharge fluctuations, it was possible to predict eDNA signal strength from the number of migrating fish: first, the whole spawning reach was taken into account. Second, the model was validated using eDNA signals and fish counts obtained from the upper half of the examined river stretch. Consequently, fish counts and their day-to-day changes could be described via an eDNA-based time series model for the whole migration period. Our findings highlight the capability of eDNA beyond delivering simple presence/absence data towards efficient and informative monitoring of highly dynamic aquatic processes such as spawning migrations of potamodromous fish species.