Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To investigate the predictive value of the pre-operative D-dimer and gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase (GGT) for the prognosis in colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) patients after hepatic resection. METHODS: Two hundred and ninety-two patients between December 2008 and December 2016 and 101 patients at our center from January 2017 to December 2018 were selected as a training set and validation set, respectively. The combination of the pre-operative D-dimer and GGT status (CPDG score) was scored as follows: elevated D-dimer levels with elevated GGT levels was allocated a score of 2, decreased D-dimer levels with decreased GGT levels was allocated a score of 0, and all other combinations were allocated a score of 1. In the training set, a logistic regression was applied to explore potential predictors of major postoperative complications. A Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to analyze survival. We further verified our findings in the validation set. RESULTS: Major complications occurred in 43 (14.7%) and 25 (24.8%) patients in the training set and validation set, respectively. In the training set, multivariate analysis showed that elevated GGT levels and elevated D-dimer levels independently predicted major complications respectively. In the multivariate analyses, elevated pre-operative D-dimer levels remained independently associated with decreased overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.751, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.139-2.691, P = .01). The CPDG score was an independent prognostic factor for major complications and OS in the multivariate analyses. The predictive ability of the CPDG score was higher than either factor alone. A Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that compared with patients with CPDG score = 1 or CPDG score = 0, patients with a CPDG score = 2 had worsened OS. Furthermore, for OS comparisons, the differences between any two groups were significant. In the validation set, elevated GGT and D-dimer were also suggested to predict worse progression-free survival (PFS) and to be independently associated with major complications. CONCLUSIONS: The pre-operative D-dimer levels, GGT levels and CPDG score are reliable biomarkers to predict post-operative major complications or survival in CRLM patients after hepatic resection, which make it useful for CRLM patients in guiding surveillance approaches and prognosis assessments.