Lactate/Pyruvate Ratio as an Early Predictor of Mortality in Patients with Sepsis: A Cohort Study

乳酸/丙酮酸比值作为脓毒症患者死亡率的早期预测指标:一项队列研究

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作者:Olga G Cantu-Rodriguez, Jose A Hawing-Zarate, Edgar G Dorsey-Trevino, David Hernandez-Barajas, Leonel E Villalobos-Gutierrez, Jose Carlos Jaime-Perez, Consuelo Mancias-Guerra, Oscar Gonzalez-Llano, Graciela A Gonzalez-Cantu, David Gomez-Almaguer, Cesar H Gutierrez-Aguirre

Background

The lactate/pyruvate (LP) ratio has been studied as an alternative to serum lactate to determine clinical prognosis. Despite its clinical utility, there is a paucity of evidence evaluating the role of the L/P ratio in patients with sepsis.

Conclusions

Based on our findings, the L/P ratio appears to function more effectively as an early predictor of mortality when used as an adjuvant biomarker with other clinical parameters.

Methods

We assessed the clinical utility of the L/P ratio in patients with sepsis. The L/P ratio was measured at baseline, 4 and 8 h after admission. Our primary outcome was to determine the prognostic utility of the L/P ratio on the 15-day mortality risk. Our secondary outcomes were to compare the L/P ratio across time and its prognostic utility against standard risk calculators such as APACHE-II and SOFA scores.

Results

We had a total of 80 patients, with 18 (22.5%) survivors and 62 (77.5%) non-survivors. While we found that patients having higher L/P ratios at 8 h had an increased 30-mortality risk (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.18), the model's performance showed no difference when compared to other measurements of the L/P ratio that showed no association with mortality (p-value: 0.45). For our secondary outcome, we found that the APACHE-II and SOFA scores have better performance and predictability than the L/P ratio (AUC 0.83 and AUC 0.80, respectively), but showed no association with mortality (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01-1.17 and OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.02-1.18). Conclusions: Based on our findings, the L/P ratio appears to function more effectively as an early predictor of mortality when used as an adjuvant biomarker with other clinical parameters.

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