Geographical distribution, evaluation of risk of dengue and its relationship with the El Niño Southern Oscillation in an endemic region of Peru between 2004 and 2015

2004年至2015年间秘鲁地方性登革热流行区的地理分布、风险评估及其与厄尔尼诺南方涛动的关系

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To determine the geographical distribution and risk stratification of dengue infection in an endemic region of Peru, and its relationship with the presence of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). RESULTS: For the analysis, the definition and information about the ENSO events in Peru was obtained from the SENAMHI and IGP reports. The geographical distribution of dengue cases in the territory comprising the 11 districts is homogeneous. There were 1 498 confirmed cases of dengue reported, the highest incidence was determined in Puerto Inca where it reached an incidence of 3210.14/100,000 hab. Of the 11 districts, 2 were classified as a high risk of transmission, 3 as moderate risk, 3 as low risk and in 3 of them the risk of virus transmission could not be determined.

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