Extraction of maize growth stages in the Sanjiang Plain of China from 2003 to 2022 and their spatio-temporal changes in response to meteorological variables

提取2003年至2022年中国三江平原玉米生长阶段及其对气象变量时空响应变化的研究

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Abstract

How to quickly monitor the growth process of maize on a large scale is crucial for regional maize growth assessment, yield estimation, and farmland management. This article takes the Sanjiang Plain in Northeast China as the research area, which is the main grain production area in China. Using MODIS NDVI time series data and Savitzky Golay and Whittaker filtering techniques, a remote sensing extraction method for key growth stages of maize (i.e., jointing stage, tasseling stage, and maturity stage) was established. The spatiotemporal characteristics of these growth stages from 2003 to 2022 were analyzed, alongside their meteorological influences. Results show the Whittaker filter achieves high accuracy, with errors under 8 days. Jointing stages typically fall between June 9(th) and June 25(th), tasseling stages between July 20(th) and August 5(th), and maturity stages between September 13(th) and September 29(th). From 2003 to 2022, jointing and tasseling stages advanced by 0.43 and 0.19 days/year, respectively, while the maturity stage was delayed by 0.38 days/year, indicating an extended growing season correlated with rising surface temperatures and precipitation in the preceding month. These findings offer theoretical and technical guidance for crop growth monitoring, yield assessment, and farmland management.

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